Monday, July 12, 2010


I guess justice was done yesterday and Spain have to be seen as worthy winners of the competition, Netherlands played a brand of "football" which would have sent a shiver down the spine of Neeskens, Cruyff and Rensenbrink and the game would have been the loser had they prevailed.

Only unbeaten team at the World Cup................ New Zealand !!! Wonder what odds you could have got about that !

Here are my brief notes about one of today's games .....

Stats might not be quite so strong as for Superettan which we discussed in detail last month, but we do normally see an increase in goals in Veikkausliiga when we enter the summer months, especially in July. The trend has been towards more goals in the Finnish top flight in any case, with the season producing 2.69 per game so far, up 0.25 over the same period last season, which is a massive increase. The 13 games since the beginning of the month have averaged over 3.3 per game, with 8 (over 61%) ending "over". This gives us a starting point for today's games and the one I am interetsed in is KuPS- IFK Mariehamn.

This fixture normally produces goals, the last 8 meetings have all involved at least two, with six going "over", matches in Kuopio have been even more fruitful, with all four here producing three or more, with three giving up four goals, two of those ended in a 2-2 draw, I expect both to score today and a repeat of that scoreline at circa 19.0 on the exchanges is not impossible at very rewarding odds for the more speculative amongst you.

KuPS were expected to struglle this season, but have exceeded all expectation and would go level on points with Honka in second position with a win today, they will be in confident mood on the back of two impressive wins, including putting six past Tampere in their last home start, their last ten home starts have all seen a minimum two goals with seven producing at least three.

IFK are in the relegation playoff zone which is something of a mirror image of KuPS season, as Mariehamn were expected to potentially challenge for a european spot, those dreams have long since faded and four points adrift of Oulu and safety, they need some points and fast. We can expect them to look for the wins, as their only two victories this season have come on the road, they are "over" in 5 from 7 away starts. They blew a 2-0 lead at home to Lahti last time out and despite their league position, have been creating a lot of goal scoring chances. Hard not to see goals in this one and given the general trend in the division, "over" has to be the call.

"over" 2.5 goals 1.97 +

Good Luck.

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