Saturday, July 10, 2010


Some of you only have my word for this, but both of my max bets won yesterday, at incredibly rewarding odds of 2.76 and 2.09, although both were gambled heavily. I hope that those of you that received them via email managed to get on and earn some summer vacation spending money.

I have two ideas today, but just basic notes, the weather is incredible hot and humid in the south east of England and after little sleep, my energy levels are low !!


Nice odds and huge advantage for the austrians who are far advanced in their preparation. Graz have played a number of warm up games and are peaking with their domestic season set to start next weekend. We are still five weeks away from the return of the EPL and this is just the second week of training for Rovers and their first outing. Boss Sam Allardyce has not been with the squad at all yet, not sure if he will arrive for the game, but he never takes these matches seriously and might leave things up to his coaching staff. Rovers have been doing almost exclusively running at their altitude training camp and I expect them to be "leggy" today. Graz finished 4th last year and were tight defensively, conceding just 36 times in the same number of starts, a solid record in a high scoring league. Blackburn will not be overly worried by the result, are poor travellers, very early in their prep work and are bound to tire, this more than negates their edge in class and the odds for Graz look too good to pass up.

Sturm Graz -0.5 2.60 + up to 2.72 in places.

WORLD CUP 3rd and 4th place playoff

Injury concerns over Forlan and Klose, but I suspect both will start and the german player in particular, has huge incentive to score, with World Cup all time goalscoring records up for grabs. Team boss Oliver Bierhoff said yesterday "The players will be doing everything in their power to help Miro fulfil that dream”, that is a clear indication not only of intent, but that he will play. I do not worry that he has not trained since the semi-final as after six games in the last month, no one is short of fitness and a mini break has probably served him well. These games are normally very open affairs and I see this following suit, both squads are bound to be weary, but each will be looking for goals and are boosted by the return of some key players from injury and suspension. There has been flu in the german camp this week apparently, but that hardly puts me off goals, as I doubt anyone affected would be risked and there is an argument that if they were, sick, tired players are only going to mean more errors and goalscoring chances.It is almost four decades since this match failed to go "over", that's eight games all with three or more, five have produced at least four and the average is 3.875. Given what both teams are looking to achieve from today, more of the same looks the order of the day.

"over" 3 goals 2.26

Good Luck.

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