Friday, April 13, 2007


Bastia's diminishing promotion hopes, 11 points and one game adrift, were completely put to bed, in the 4-0 rout by Guincamp last week.

Creteil sit at the other end of the table, two points from safety, but are on a 4 match unbeaten run and have collected a point at leaders Metz and a first away win of the season at Libourne, in their last two away starts.

I have few doubts that Bastia are the better team, but Creteil will battle for every ball and we cannot say that with confidence about the hosts.

The visitors should not return home empty handed.

My final selection of the day is the "over" in the Libourne-Ajaccio fixture. Both are averaging 2.5 per start in their respective home and away matches.

The visitors are now secure in mid table and can play without fear, their last 10 games have averaged exactly 3.0 goals and they are unlikely just to sit back and defend.

Libourne have to look for the win that could almost secure their league status. They have conceded exactly 2 in each of their last 4 and ideally for us, will be without a key defender and first choice goalkeeper and welcome back a striker.

Feel sure that we will see goals.

1.5 points Creteil 5.65 Unibet won +6.975 pts

3 points Bastia-Creteil draw 3.55 Betfair. - 3 pts

5 points over 2 goals Libourne-Ajaccio 1.85 asian line. 1-0 - 5 pts

Good Luck.

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