Thursday, December 27, 2007



This is another game where I expect goals. Ajax's last six starts have produced 27 goals, an average of 4.5 per match, with 12 coming at the wrong end (if you are a fan) of the pitch ! Including two or more, in the dreadful loss to struggling Excelsior and the matches against bottom club Willem II and Breda. This is hardly the form of potential champions and, even taking into account their full treatment room, it is simply not good enough.

Twente are on an unbeaten run of 8 matches and are playing some very nice football, as indicated by wins over AZ, Feyenoord and away, at red hot Heerenveen, last time out. They are worth chancing at a big price for minimal stakes, but our main bet has to be the "over" given Ajax's free and easy ways, allied to Twente's inability to keep a clean sheet, they have scored and conceded in each of their last six.

Recent h2h results offer a little encouragement for the visitors, with the last 3 meetings providing an even split of 1X2.

6 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.63 exchanges.
1.5 points Twente to win 5.50 +.... 6.0 available in places.

Good Luck.

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