Monday, July 09, 2012


MONDAY JULY 9th  ( written 10.00 Monday)

Andy Murray served four more aces than Roger Federer and also traded at odds on during the course of the second set set yesterday. Philadelphia Union won 3-0 and I believe that is the the 13th winner from 16 MLS selections, one of the others was a push (money back) and of the two losers, one blew a two goal lead in a match where I also favoured goals, so far from totally wrong and the other dominated, but their opponent scored the winner with their only shot on target !

The Football League clubs have returned to pre season training now and will be starting to play friendlies soon. Some of these teams are in a bad financial position, I have heard of one who are leaving it as late as possible to sign any players in an attempt to cut their wage bill and only six senior professionals were at the first session, where I assume they were playing three a side ! I already have a lot of information for the new domestic ( at least for me) football season and I am very pleased with that first outright bet at huge odds.

This week looks promising, I will probably take a first look at the European qualifiers, but want to try something different with them as limits are too low and the lines change too quickly. The US PGA tour event the John Deere Classic is one of my favourites, it is a real "horses for courses" event and I have done very well there in the past. On the European Tour a classy field heads up to Inverness for the Scottish Open to get used to some links golf, before next weeks Open Championship and I am sure that we can find something of interest there.There are also full rounds of J-League, Irish  and MLS football, all of which we will be involded in.

I am going to leave the football alone today, so just a few words about the Tour de France Individual Time Trial today, which will be raced over 41.5km between Arc-et-Senans and Besançon.

Fabian Cancellara has been made circa even money favourite and I am not sure that is correct. The Swiss rider won the prologue and I think he is 100% in those races, but doesn't perform as well once the rigors of the tour have taken it's toll later in the race and he was injured in the spring, which may affect him over the longer distances.

Bradley Wiggins finished second in the prologue , 7 seconds behind Cancellara but he did not go all out in the first half of that, he took ten seconds off his big rival for the overall win Cadel Evans and will be looking to really increase that today, which will enable him to continue riding defensively in the mountains. He is a three time Olympic individual( 2)  and team  pursuit(1) champion .

The British cyclist has been oozing confidence in interviews and hinted that he had something special to offer today, he started to say something whilst talking to the UK media yesterday and then stopped himself. His team has been ultra professional in the build up to every stage and have done all their homework on this one and I mean to a special degree. He did a lot of work on his upper body and core strength in the gym over the winter and as a result, his time trialling ability has improved yet again, he is unbeaten this season in longer time trials, taking the contre la montre in the Tour of Algarve in February, the hill climb up Mont Faron in Paris-Nice in March, the long uphill time trial in Tour of Romandie in May and finally the Dauphiné test. He made an error in one of these last year when he started too hard and learned from that mistake, hence the cautious opening section in the prologue.

I found something on a specialist website which said that the work done by Wiggins in the off season helped him because "improved core strength improves the transmission of power from his upper body to his legs, as well as making it more comfortable to hold the elongated, flattened aerodynamic position on his time trial bike." !

I think 3.0 for Bradley Wiggins is too big.

Good Luck.


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