Sunday, September 30, 2007

NFL WEEK 4 ....

I have four bets for today, unfortunately, as it has already passed the time that I promised to post these previews (!), so they will have to be brief.


Bills are ranked last in both offense and defense, have lost their quarterback for today and six players for the entire season, dreadful luck. That is about as bad as it can get . Jets picked up last week with the return of QB and team leader, Chad Pennington and young coach Eric Mangini, who is set to be an all time great, looks sure to be able to come up with a game plan to defeat the beat up Bills, who are averaging just 8 points per game.

5 points Jets to win ... money line 1.78 Pinnacle/ Vegas


Packers QB Brett Favre, needs just one touchdown pass, to become the all time leader in the NFL. He seems certain to get it against a Vikings team that cannot defend against the pass, which is what Green bay will be doing and always have.

Vikings passing game is dire and they have real problems at QB.

5 points Green Bay to win .... money line 1.89 Pinnacle/ Vegas


Colts have an amazing record in September winning 17 from 19, including the last 11 and they have won 21 of the last 22 at home. Frightening prospect for the Broncos. However, Colts are happy to outscore the opposition and are conceding an average of 18 points per game. Denver have plenty of options on offence, it is just that we have not seem them yet in 2007. As they are fond of saying, the only team that can stop the Broncos scoring, is Denver, in other words, they shoot themselves in the foot. Think that we will see the real Denver tonight, at least when they have the ball and I am taking the team to go "over".

Denver to score "over" 17 points 1.83 Pinnacle/ Vegas.


Dallas remain my Super Bowl selection and should win this easily enough, but will they cover an almost two touchdown handicap ? I think so. St Louis have averaged only 11 points per start and are without star running back, Steven Jackson today and two starting offensive linemen for the season. The Cowboys have so many options on offence it is unbelievable and their huge offensive line should totally dominate the Rams and allow them to run and pass the ball, almost at will, especially late in the game, when those big guys beating up on you, really begins to hurt.

5 points Dallas -13 points 1.96 Pinnacle/ Vegas line

Good Luck.

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