SWANSEA CITY - DERBY COUNTY
Regular readers know that I am a big fan of Swansea and especially their boss Roberto Martinez, however, now that County have broken their duck, recording their first league win in just a couple of days short of one year, I have to take a chance on Paul Jewell's side.
These sequences tend to run in cycles and whilst it is unlikely that Derby will go unbeaten for a year (!), surely they are capable of putting a run together. Recent performances had already suggested that things were about to change, they beat a good Preston side away in the cup and dominated the game at Barnsley, somehow losing 2-0 with the home keeper, Luke Steele, making four fantastic saves. At the weekend I was very impressed with the win over Sheffield United, where a lot went wrong, after again dominating ,they took the lead, only to immediately concede an equaliser. In the second half it looked like the winner would never come and then they were awarded a penalty, which, after much deliberation was then disallowed. After such a dire run and with confidence at a low ebb, it says a lot, that they still managed to find a winner and the joy amongst their long suffering supporters was unbounded.
They created 18 attempts on goal against a good Sheffield side and now have something to build on, there is still quality in the squad and I fancy them against a Swansea outfit that will allow them to play football.
5.5 points Derby +1/4 ball 2.12 asian line.