SPORTING GIJON - VILLARREAL
I have tried to find an angle in this game, that still offers some value and think that I have found one. Gijon have been incredibly gung-ho in their starts so far, conceding an incredible 17 goals in their last three matches ! OK, it is hard to see how those fixtures could have been any harder, coming as they did against Real Madrid, Barcelona and Seville, but they also conceded two at home on the opening day, to goal shy Getafe. Things do not get any easier at the El Molinon, with the visit of Villarrreal, who, at least on what I have seen recently, are the equal of the big two. The visitors are excellent on the road, where they collected more points than any other side in La Liga last year and have won 8 of their last 11 away starts.
Back to this game, I think that Villa will win and with a huge Champions League game in midweek, surely they would prefer to put this one "to bed" as early as possible. Hosts have conceded eight times before the break in the last three, visitors just once in 7 away first half's, at circa 2.60, the odds for Villarreal to lead at both 45 and 90 minutes, look very attractive.
6.5 points Villa-Villa HT/ FT 2.625 general quote.... including the exchanges.