NORWICH CITY - READING
Here we have two teams who have to go for it tonight, although a draw would not totally be the end of the road for City, it would leave the visitors preparing for the play-offs. Therefore, I see a little value in the "over", despite goals for Reading being at a premium in recent months and to be honest, I was a little shocked to see the odds against quote, so we have to take a little.
To snatch the automatic promotion spot, the visitors have to win their last two and hope that Sheffield United drop points at Crystal Palace on Sunday. That is a complex game as Palace boss Neil Warnock is a United lifelong supporter and former coach, on the other hand, Reading boss Steve Coppell is a Palace man, so anything could happen. However, what is clear is that it is outside of Reading's direct control and whilst they still have a massive incentive to win tonight, at the back of their mind they know that and also have the "cushion" of a post season spot to fall back on.
For City two wins and they will be safe, a draw will leave them relying on results elsewhere on Sunday, but it would give them more options than defeat, bringing Forest into the equation. Their final start is at Charlton, who are already relegated and whilst they are fighting all the way, that is about as good as the Canaries could hope for. Carrow Road will be filled to capacity and on occasion City have been impressive here, dismantling a couple of the best teams in the Championship, we have discussed them a lot recently, they create plenty of chances and Reading will have to open up, on the road at times they have been too negative IMO, so this should be entertaining, despite the pressure being on both and I will take City to earn the points that will take them above Barnsley and out of the drop zone.
5 points Norwich level ball 2.09 asian line.
4 points "over" 2.5 goals 2.07 asian line.