CHELTENHAM TOWN - CARLISLE UNITED
Cheltenham are another side who are on their way out of the division, but are also going down fighting and recent performances have been very good. However, it is very likely that at some time during this game, that scores elsewhere will seal their fate, that can only be a bonus for us, as I am firmly in the visiting camp.
Having narrowly missed out on promotion last season, this campaign has been a nightmare for United and now they find themselves in big trouble, in the drop zone on goal difference, with the team immediately above them (Northampton) having a game in hand and hosting relegated Hereford this afternoon. A point might suffice for Carlisle but a win would give them real hope of survival and could leave matters in their own hand on the final day of the season, which is all they can hope for at present.
United have been here before, in the last decade they have had so many of these end of season relegation/promotion battles that they are better equipped to handle it than most. Loyal Carlisle fans know that they have a part to play and some 800 of them are making the 500 mile round trip to support their team, they will make a lot of noise in tiny Whaddon Road and could be the 12th man.
Visitors have the better squad, Town were forced to release a number of their higher paid players, despite fighting a relegation fight and I expect them to win. In the last month their level of performance has improved greatly, despite collecting minimal points. In four April starts,they have conceded a 94th minute equaliser to Swindon last week, a 78th minute winner at Huddersfield and a 89th minute goal to Oldham, which cost another two points, they also drew 2-2 at champions Leicester City. With a little more focus late in games, they could have collected eight points from those fixtures and arrived here free from worry. They cannot afford to slip up this time.
6 points Carlisle United -1/4 2.19 asian line.