Friday, June 26, 2009

FRIDAY ............

Many of you have already seen today's email, as I sent out some 300 freebies. In addition to the football action, it included a quick look at the Women's third round from Wimbledon. The Sugiyama match has already finished and whilst Hantuchova won, her Japanese opponent raced into an early lead and anyone trading in running( as suggested), could have closed out for a big profit after just 3-4 games, when Sugiyama was odds on !


I must admit to being very tempted by the 3.25 on Ai Sugiyama, who did us a big favour earlier in the week, to beat the talented but fragile Daniela Hantuchova. Both enjoy playing on the surface and I think that this will be close, maybe a bet on the Japanese woman ( I cannot call her a girl at 35 yo) and look to trade out for a profit, is the way to go, she seems very likely to trade shorter at some stage. Sugiyama leads the h2h 6-4 and all meetings have been on fast courts. Hantuchova is one of the few players that can trade blows with the Williams sisters on grass courts and she has had close games with both here in recent years and would welcome the chance to do so again with Serena on Monday.


This is another game I expect to be close. H2h is 3-1 in Sciavone's favour, with all four meeting being on fast courts and going the full distance, with an average of 27.75 games. Last meeting was in Dubai earlier this year and was the only victory for Bartoli, the former Wimbledon runner up. She showed terrific battling qualities that year with every match from the third round onwards going the distance.

Schiavone also has a winning record on the surface and both came into Wimbledon on the back of semi-finals on grass in their previous outings. So, two well matched rivals, both in good form and who know each other's game. Couple of minus points for each, Bartoli was forced to retire from Eastbourne and Sciavone has been struggling with her first serve, although winning the points when she has got it in . I expect Bartoli to find a way through, but think the "overs" at 21.5 games, has been pitched too low. Even two close sets could see this total passed , which is a bonus, as I do feel that we will see three.

6 points "over" 21.5 games 1.90 general quote.

2 points Bartoli to win 2-1 sets 4.33 Boyle Sports.... 4.20 exchanges.

Good Luck.

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