Thursday, June 18, 2009

RADWANSKA TO SHOW POLISH ON GRASS ....


I have sent subscribers to the daily newsletter two emails today, the first is reproduced below.

Nice day yesterday, the bets on Iraq and Bahrain were both successful and subscribers were also sent a third winner, so three from three for them.

THURSDAY JUNE 18TH

Just a few lines about the WTA tennis in this email and I will send a second, with some football news later this morning.

WTA TENNIS....EASTBOURNE

This traditional pre Wimbledon tournament looks very competitive and in the top half of the draw, we are set for a repeat of last year's semi-final between Marion Bartoli (Wimbledon runner up in 2007) and Agnieszka Radwanska the current Eastbourne champion .

Both appear in decent shape and that could be a match to savour tomorrow. The winner is likely to meet Caroline Wozniacki who has a much easier looking run to the final, but at this stage of the season, on grass, you can never be sure and I would not rush to take the circa 2.0 her to win outright, when she has to win three games, including one against these two proven grass court campaigners.

Long time readers of the email/blog know that I am very keen on Radwanska, she was going to be my tennis bet of the week today, to beat Dementieva, but the Russian ruined everything by losing yesterday ! The Polish youngster is still improving and has a lot of points to defend here, she is a former Junior Wimbledon winner and is priced too big to retain her title in my opinion.

I am going to take a little on her outright and also a short priced double, which is a bet I rarely place, on her and Bartoli to both win their games today, at the odds offered it is around 1.80 for them to beat Virginie Razzano and Anabel Medina Garrigues respectively.

Bartoli should have few problems beating a player who is not overly comfortable on the surface and who wins one or two games per year max on grass. She has already reached that quota at Eastbourne and can leave happy with her week's work. Bartoli leads the h2h 3-0 and all wins have come easily and all on fast courts.

Radwanska leads her opponent 2-0, which includes a win in the second round here last season, so something of a groundhog day for our girl, with a repeat of two of her games (hopefully) from last year. She started slowly against Razzano last year, losing the first set , but never really looked in trouble and raced through the next two, I hope and believe it will not be quite so close this time.

Raddy had a very solid French Open losing in the fourth round, to eventual champion Svetlana Kuznetsova in three sets.

5.5 points Bartoli and Radwanska to both win circa 1.80 ..... anything above 1.75 is acceptable ( circa 1.3 x 1.35)

3 points Radwanska to win outright 5.50 Betfair/ Skybet.... 5.0 Ladbrokes.

Good Luck.

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