Wednesday, April 04, 2012



So many tempting odds today, I feel like a fat man on a diet in a cake shop, the quotes are making me salivate !

On just one football game, there are bets I really like at odds of 2.84, 5.0, 10.0, 2.92 and 126.0 and all could win ! However unlikely that might seem.

Readers with long memories might recall we have some history with this kind of thing LINK 1, LINK 2 and it is not as if we do this everyday of the week, maybe just a couple of times per year.




This is the only major played on the same course each year, the hallowed long wide fairways and ( usually)lightening fast greens of Augusta. Fields are always small, 99 players this year, including six amateurs and three honorary palyers who will just tee off and in reality, we have a 70-75 man field. Experience is absolutely vital and the same players do well year after year. We have had a couple of shock winners in recent years, but most of them have gone on to play well in subsequent visits and we can also view them as Augusta specialists who had to start somewhere !
One of those is Trevor Immelman who won in 2008 and despite being troubled by a tumour and wrist problems since and showing limited form elsewhere, he has still finished T20-14-15 in the last three years, to go along with that win and a top five place as a very young golfer. I was a little interested in the South African who has finished 5-6-MC-33-12-MC-MC-11 in his last eight starts on Tour, the three missed cuts do not worry me, four top 12's is impressive and an 11th place in the Arnold Palmer last time out is the best he has posted coming into this event for many years.He withdrew from the event before that, citing wrist problems again, which has the red warning signs flashing, but two days later played a non tour event and played well and then went to the AP, I do not think he would have done either unless he was confident that the wrist would hold up here. He was ranked first for putting at the AP and finished just two strokes off third place after a sluggish start on day one, when he probably took things a little easy as a precaution. He is 3.50 + to finish in the top 20, something he has done for four straight years and there is even a little 4.0 if you shop around. That looks way too big, although you have to factor in the problematic wrist, but the way I look at it, if he plays all four days, he is not going to be too far away come sunday evening, especially if conditions toughen up through the week . No official bet on him for me, there are other better quotes today, but his odds seem more than fair.


....... again, key stats at Augusta.

Now the course, it is too soft ! Greens are receptive and that means players can attack pins and unless they dry out and Augusta are trying all they can to make this happen and we also have plenty of wind forecast and saturday could be sunny too, so nature is also doing it's best, then the course is going to be much easier than expected. This is the great unknown, but I do expect conditions to toughen as the week progresses and I HAVE to .......


Good Luck.


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