Thursday, November 16, 2006

FEDERER-LJUBICIC


Hoping that history will repeat here, last year Fed-Ex won all his round robin matches 2-1 in sets, one coming against today's opponent. He has won his first two here, by exactly the same score.

Think we can lay him to win 2-0, a bet that worked so well in the Federer-Roddick match, just two days ago.

Ljubicic was serving huge against Nalbandian and we all saw the problems the world number one, had with Roddick's "bombs".

H2h is, as you would expect firmly with Federer, he leads 10-3, but in their last meeting earlier this year in Miami, all three sets went to tie breaks. In fact, 6 of the last 10 sets they have played, went to a breaker, so I also see value in the 3.20 offer for the opening set to go beyond 10 games, therefore, we win if either player takes it 7-5 or 7-6.

lay 6 points Federer to win 2-0 sets 1.48 betfair ( exposure 2.88 points) up to 1.50 is fine.
1 point first set to go beyond 10 games 3.20 stan james.

Good Luck.

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