FOREST GREEN ROVERS - NORTHWICH VICTORIA
Two struggling teams meeting each other, especially when both are looking for maximum points, normally means goals and with each of these suffering defensive problems, we can surely expect this one to follow suit.
FGR are just two points from safety and have played fewer games that many of the teams above them in the table, but will be all out for the points this evening, ahead of three very tough fixtures, starting with a trip to Torquay on Tuesday. Eight of their last nine starts have been "over", they have conceded at least two in their last five and they have scored in ten straight games. Only Lewes have conceded more home goals, where all their games have averaged 3.4 per start.
Northwich are 12 points adrift and seemingly fighting a lost cause. However, there have been signs of life recently, including an eyecatching win at highflying Kidderminster who were previously 11-2-3 at home, last time out, where they had seven attempts on target. Five of their last six have been "over" and they are certainly used to playing on the road, as due to cancellations, this is their sixth straight away start. They have allowed a league 39 goals away from home, but no side outside the top two has scored more, meaning that road games are averaging a very high 3.59 per match .
A clear "over" for me.
7 points "over" 2.75 goals 1.90 asian line.