Thursday, February 12, 2009



Sorry, I have had to block out part of this post, which was sent to subscibers early this morning.

This league title race is all but over, Burton are coasting towards the title, with a 19 point lead and have collected 43 points, from a posible 45, an incredible run. They had a blip in the FA Trophy losing 4-0 at Stevenage, but after boss Roy McFarland read them the riot act, they got straight back on track with a 3-0 win over Rushden on Monday night, in a game that was effectively over, very early in the second half.

Nevertheless, that is very limited recovery time for Albion, who have had a gruelling schedule since Christmas and with the title becoming little more than a formality, we are bound to see a few more slip ups from them, between now and the end of the season. Given their massive lead, it is going to become increasingly difficult to remain focused, especially on the road.

United are the sort of side that could give them problems, they are a great cup side, who won the FA Trophy at Wembley last year and are again in the quarter-finals this time round and have their eye on a return visit. This means that they are very good at raising their game for the big glamour ties, which this most definitely is, being live on television and coming against the best team in the division.

Hosts are in 16th position, just five points outside the drop zone, having played more games than most of the teams below them in the table, so they would dearly love the three points which would allow them to concentrate fully on the FAT game, which is up next. I could easily be tempted to take a chance on them at very big odds, they have certainly re-found some goalscoring form, after a barren spell, with six goals in their last two starts, including a 4-4 draw with highflying Crawley, but they do have some defensive problems as that result implies and boss Liam Daish, has no real options but to stick with his current backline. Playing a team in such confident mood, it is almost impossible not to see them conceding a couple of goals. Burton are, as you might expect, the BSP's top scorers, they average 1.94 in every league start, have notched twelve in their last five on the road and only Histon, have scored more away from home.

I am going to bet the "over" tonight in what I hope and expect to develop into a high scoring encounter. We can also back xxxxxx xxxxx xx xxxxx for the xxxxx side, we have discussed xxx xx xxx xxx , long time subscribers, xxxx xxxx xxxxxxxx , might recall the xxxx. xxxx xxxxxx xx xxxxx xx xx xxxxx xxxx xxxxx xx xxx xxxxxx xxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xx x xxxxxx xx xxxxx by a number of clubs at this level, xx xx x xxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx xxx xxxx xxxx xx xxx xxxx xxxxx xx xxxxx xxx xxxxx xx xxxxxx. xxxxx x xx xxxxx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxx xxxxxx x xxxx xxxx run, but has bounced back with xxxx xx xxx xxx xxx xxxx xxx xxxx xxxx xx xxx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxx and I would make this my bet of the day, albeit on a VERY quiet thursday.

Fleet have a little more class than most teams near the foot of the table, players like Gash, Shakes, Charles ( who learnt his trade at Brentford, so he must be good !) and Sole are all talented, but are happier on the front foot, going forward.

4.5 points "over" 2.5 goals 2.0 asian line.

Good Luck.

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