Friday, February 20, 2009




Vale are firmly established in mid table and they have very little to play for over the remainder of the season. 2009 has not started well for them and they have only won once in six starts, which came against Chester, who have now lost six in a row.

No side in Division 2 has lost more home games (eight) and that might be because, at this level, they remain something of a "name" team, but I feel the reason is more likely to be the extremely large pitch at Vale Park (biggest in the division ?) , which seems to result in very open matches.

City are twelve points off the playoffs, which is a big gap to close, having said that, they have two games in hand over almost all the teams above them in the table and are capable of going on a 5-6 match winning run and who knows how far that could take them. Some people have said that the sale of Lee Frecklington to Peterborough, meant that they had given up on the season, however, they turned down two big bids from MK Dons for Dany N'Guessan, whom many consider the best player in the division, so to me, that says otherwise. They are almost at full strength tonight and despite what you may read elsewhere, Geoff Horsfiled, Ben Wright and Lee Beevers, are ALL fit to return to the squad.

They are on a reasonable run, unbeaten in six 2009 starts, but have drawn far too many of those (five) and if they are to put in a late push, will have to gamble and try to turn one point into three. This sequence of games has included two 2-2 and one 3-3 draw and a saver on four on more goals, looks a good option and we might collect on both bets.

Vale lost 2-0 at Brentford on Saturday, the Bees missed a penalty and were value for far more than a two goal win and the hosts look a side low on confidence at present.

5 points Lincoln City to win 2.70 general quote.

2.5 points "over" 3.5 goals 3.40 + ... up to 3.75 is available.

Good Luck.

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