Friday, August 26, 2011

FRIDAY ....



I put up two selections for tonight early this morning, the only one I planned to post on here has been backed from 1.94 into 1.77 so all the real value has gone, but you can find those notes below, along with some minor notes (no official selection) for an Irish Cup game .

The Boulogne selection, like almost every bet I have put up in the last week, has been possible to close out before kick off for a decent profit.

That is great, but it is making it very difficult for me to preview anything on the blog.

I have just ( 15.51) sent out my Saturday notes by email, three full previews and selections ( red type) and a pair of minor suggestions ( black type) and I will try and post one of these on here tomorrow, so please check back.

Good Luck.
Contact: stencelwade@btinternet.com

Going to start with the Amiens- Boulogne fixture, not much distance between these two clubs and an easy and quick journey on the bus for the visitors. Hosts have just returned to the second tier of french football after two seasons in the wilderness of National and are struggling to come to terms with life at the higher level, they are yet to post a win and are bottom of the table after four starts.

Early days yet and they have definitely not been helped by injuries and suspension, but short of numbers again tonight, it might take them a little longer to get going. They are without three starters this evening including the suspended Rafik Saifi and captain Thomas Mienniel, who is absolutely key given the other absences is a big doubt, but has been included in the 18 man squad. Boulogne have opened with four draws and in very similar fashion to last season, when they drew their first six starts on the road, where like many teams in this league they operate a safety first approach, they are without Damour ( suspended) and Lachor tonight, but the very experienced Fabien comes into contention and they seem far better equipped to handle these losses. I have to take Boulogne the draw specialists getting the full half ball handicap start +0.5 ball 1.94.

With regard to the Irish Cup games tonight I do not have any official selections, but the derby game between Drogheda United and Dundalk is sure to be the usual blood and thunder high scoring affair, the pair always produce. The last nine h2h meetings have all produced at least three goals at an average of 3.89 goals per game. Neither will be concerned about the league and will give their all this evening. Hosts are booked for the relegation playoffs, being 13 clear of the automatic relegation spot and 20 adrift or survival and Dundalk can only finish either 5th ( unlikely) or 6th or 7th, so this evening is one of the few remaining highlights. The "over" option looks ok of course, but the quote that really caught my attention was the 4.0 for Drogheda to score "over" 1.5 goals with Bet 365, something they have done in seven of the last eleven h2h games, two of which were cup ties.


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