Sunday, August 07, 2011

SUNDAY .....

The mighty Bees started with a 2-0 win over Yeovil Town and put in a very pleasing performance, when it all clicks for them this season they are going to administer a few thumpings and these are exciting times for Brentford supporters. Potential big players in League 1 Charlton and both Sheffield clubs also opened up with comfortable wins and this division looks set to be a corker ! May the best team win, as long as they reside in TW8 !

Early season big game next weekend when the Bees travel to face Sheffield United at Bramall Lane and I am already looking forward to it !

The following formed part of my notes for today ......

In the SPL Glasgow Celtic travel north to face Aberdeen who are missing key players and made a sluggish start to the new season. The visitors have had great success here in recent times, in a fixture which almost always produces goals. Nine of the last ten starts at Pittodrie have gone "over" with eight producing four or more. It doesn't really matter how the home side approach the game, they have tried keeping it tight, packing the midfield and also going toe to toe, but once the first goal goes in, it always develops into a shoot out, invaribly won by the Hoops.

Home fans are very pessimistic about this one, many are staying away in a sulk about the clubs lack of investment, they are short of maybe three starting players and that is when everyone is available and they are without the suspended Ryan Jack today and at least a couple of Clark, Mawene and Fyvie will either miss out or play at less than 100%. It is a sign of how bad things are at Aberdeen that they are desperate to get them on the pitch, despite missing almost all training this week, the 18 yo Fyvie was sat on the sidelines on Friday, yet coach Craig Brown still wants to try and get the youngster involved. This all smacks of desperation and the Dons look fearful of another big defeat. I think Celtic will win with a degree of comfort, but they are a little skinny on the handicap line, there is always a chance that Aberdeen might suddenly be inspired by the television cameras and a match with one of the Old Firm ,come to life and find a goal or even two, which would probably still not be enough as I can see the pace of the Celtic forwards running riot. However, that is just enough to make me lean towards the "over" 3 goal line, a bet that would have lost once and won eight times in the last ten meeting at this stadium. "Over" 3 goals 2.21 asian line.

I am very happy with and excited by our top ten bet on Zach Johnson in the WGC Bridgestone event ( see below). He shot a tied low round of the day 64 yesterday and is in a 9th place overnight, but just four strokes off the lead, Luke Donald also had a great day and was one of the other two to post a 64, which took him to within three of the lead and a victory for him would be huge for our money list bet. Donald is 10.0 to win and Johnson a massive 48.0, amongst the leading contenders these have been the two best Round 4 players on tour this year. With the englishman ranked 3rd with a 69.0 average and Johnson inside the top ten with 69.46. For either to win they would need to go low again, but both know where the winner's circle is nowadays and it would not surprise me if one or both made a big charge this afternoon. We already have a heavy involvement with ZJ, but if you are not on, or wanted to "waste" a few euros at big outright odds, I would look at these two.

Good Luck.

Written Thursday August 4
The USPGA Tour sees the return of Tiger Woods at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational today, it is still odd to see 20-1 + quotes for Woods, especially at a tournament he has dominated in the past, he claims to be in good shape, but we have to see that on a golf course before getting involved. Zach Johnson is probably a little short off the tee to win this week, but should put in another solid finish. Our man, who you all know I believe is a winner in waiting , has been playing solidly for three months with nine solid tournaments is a row, all were Top 30 finishes ( OK one was 32nd), with four top six placings and a sluggish opening round has cost him badly in four starts. He was 33rd here last year, but finished inside the top twenty in the three previous years ( 15-16-11) which is a very solid record on a course which is not ideal. Having said that, neither was the Open Championship and Johnson was 16th there, with no real history in the event. This is a short field event, with half the number of runners we normally see on tour and despite his shortcomings distance wise off the tee, ZJ is probably playing too well to be kept out of the top 20 , therefore it is impossible for me to let the 5.0 + for a top ten finish pass and I have to take a little, he is 5.50 with Pady Power and Bet 365 and over 5 should be available on the exchanges later in the morning.

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