Tuesday, August 09, 2011


These two previews below were included in my Monday notes, which were written and distributed at 17.30 on Sunday evening, both are now trading significantly shorter.

The Carling Cup takes centre stage tomorrow and first up are two teams we discussed at the weekend, Hereford United and, you guessed it...... Brentford !

United lost 1-0 to Southend United and were a little fortunate not to have lost by a bigger margin and as we discussed, they are a short of numbers and at this stage of the campaign, when games take so much out of players, are far less suited to a match three days later than Brentford.

The Bees played some really nice football against Yeovil Town and will doubtless rotate a little, but have a true squad of at least 22 players and can switch 5-6 ( possibly more) without any loss of ability and those coming in will be very hungry to impress the coaching staff. I also feel that Uwe Rosler will want to keep the momentum up, he has yet to taste defeat as manager of the Bees and will also want to progress in a competition which could really raise his personal profile and he is an ambitious figure.

Odds are really good IMO and unlikely to last, I make them at least -0.25 goal shorter. It is not totally impossible that these two could be three divisions apart next season and even as it stands , ability wise Brentford are at least one and a half divisions better at present.

1.5 units Brentford -0.25 2.16 asian line. I also saw a juicy looking 4.75 for the Bees -1 goal ( traditional handicap) with Bet 365 if you are so inclined, but the asian bet for me.

Next up is the Yorkshire derby between Leeds United and Bradford City. The visitors and their long suffering supporters will be up for this, there are not going to be many glory games for them this season, but they were comprehensively outplayed by Aldershot Town at the weeekend on home soil and will be facing a dangerous, wounded opponent.

United were humiliated by their performance at Southampton on saturday evening and were read the riot act by Simon Grayson afterwards and with this match televised, the last thing they need is another loss on national television. Last season United lost their opener, which was also the late televised fixture, but bounced back in midweek and put four unanswered goals past a fourth tier opponent and will be looking for a similar response on Tuesday.

Hosts are formidable at Elland Road and if they can find a little of the form that saw them put three past Newcastle United just ten days ago, they should win with ease.

In a strange way it is a big game for United, as failure to win is going to heap pressure on them, win and they can relax a little, put last week down to a blip and move on. Grayson is bound to change things round a little, but this is a free scoring team who create chances aplenty, especially on home soil and I take them to beat a visitor very much in a transitional stage.

1.25 units Leeds United -1 ball 2.04 asian line.

Good Luck.

Contact: stencelwade@btinternet.com

No comments: