After what seems like thousands of friendlies and millions of column inches on Rooney`s foot, it is finally here, "the greatest show on earth". So, sit back and enjoy, this is going to be fun.
Guess Germany will find a way to win the opener, but find no interest in the odds on offer. Going to wait a couple of hours and bet on match 2.
Ecuador are in a bit of a mess, the football federation are involved in a US visa scandal, which is set to go to trial. Then this week, promised bonuses for all players were cut, just days before the start of the tournament, guess they were relying on the visa money.
They qualified with 28 points, 23 of them earned at home, in Quito, 2800m above sea level. Since the last World Cup only once have they won on their travels and that was in Bolivia, at even higher altitude ! Goals have been very hard to come by, only 3 in 6 games this year and 4 in the last 9.
Ecuador play a cautious game and have a very experienced defence, De La Cruz, Espinosa and Hurtado have some 270 appearances between them.
Two stats stand out for this match, Ecuador have gone in level at half time in 16 of the last 25 matches and Poland don't do draws. They have played 10 qualification ties, followed by 8 friendlies without a stalemate. Included in that run is a 3-0 win over Ecuador last November, in Spain.
I think Poland are a class above Ecuador , they will have massive support in Germany and will be better suited by the conditions. If we take them on the asian line they are a very respectable 2.10 to win, but if we take the half time draw, full time Poland double result, indicated by the stats, it is a very tempting 5.80.
3 points Poland -1/2 2.10 asian line
1.5 points draw ht- poland ft 5.80 betfair
Good Luck.
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