.... like everyone else, I have been giving this earnest consideration, for some considerable time.
I like my stats and have decided the winner will be european, not too old (see below,taken from FIFA site), with a strong squad and good draw. My short list is Germany (poor squad), Netherlands (tough group), England ( odds too short) and Spain (my choice).
I know they have a terrible record and always seem to disappoint but they are strong in every position, have a very nice draw and they are unbeaten since forever, well, since Euro 2004 anyway. It will help that 5 of the squad now play in the Premiership and they have developed a little steel, which was previously missing, now when they go a goal behind, they roll up their sleeves and fight.
Up front Torres, Villa and Raul look to have goals in them, defensively they are very sound, only conceding three goals in qualification and have, in Iker Casillas, argubly the best goalkeeper in the world. In midfield the only problem is who to leave out, they have an embarrassment of riches, Alonso, Fabregas, Garcia, Xavi, Reyes, Joaquin, Iniesta, Albelda ... the "b" midfield could start for most countries.
Given so many options, they will be less affected by injury/ suspension than most and this could prove vital as the tournament progresses. At the odds on offer, they are my outright selection.
5 points Spain outright 18.0 betfair
Those who believe in the power of statistics combined with the value of youth can strike from their list of potential 2006 FIFA World Cup Germany™ winners the following teams: Brazil, France, Italy, Czech Republic, Sweden, Portugal, Serbia and Montenegro, USA, Australia, Croatia, and Trinidad and Tobago.
The reason? In none of the last ten FIFA World Cup competitions have the winners possessed a squad with an average age of more than 28 – the 'weakness' of all those teams listed above.
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