Wednesday, May 02, 2007


Afternoon kick off for this Serie A match, which is being played at a neutral venue, Verona.

I think everyone agrees that the "visitors" have given up on this season and seem to be approaching every fixture, like a testimonial game.

Probably giving out a few "favours" along the way too, but that is, of course, just speculation. I do not know what the bookmaker, who offerered 1.70 for Catania earlier in the week, was thinking of, that price lasted all of 15 minutes and circa 1.35 and 1.5 goals handicap, is now the norm.

The "hosts" can virtually seal their survival in Serie A with a victory, which they will surely get.

However, the odds reflect that and offer little value, but I do think the "over", still offers possibilities. As I suggested, Ascoli's gung-ho approach is producing entertainment, if not results, their last 6 matches have all comfortably produced 3 or more goals, at an average of 4.67 per game.

The reverse fixture ended 2-2 and it really is difficult, not to see, at least 4 today, most in the Ascoli net, obviously I am taking the "over", but will also suggest a small additional bet of over 4.5 goals on the exchanges, which seems very possible.

4.5 points Catania-Ascoli over 2.5 goals 1.72 general ..... 1.77 Betfair Result 3-3 + 3.24 pts

1.5 points over 4.5 goals 6.0 Betfair. won + 7.275 pts

Good Luck.

No comments: