Tuesday, July 04, 2006

The other quarter finals ........


Heard that Nadal cannot serve on grass, well he faced Andre Agassi, one of the all time great returners and AA did not even get to deuce once, on the young Spaniard's serve, so it can't be too shabby. Think he will have too much for Nieminen today, but can find no value in the odds on offer.

Think the Hewitt- Baghdatis match will be fun to watch, but get no "feeling" for betting, if pushed i would side with the Cypriot at the odds, no bet for me.

Going to back Jonas Bjorkman once more, in three meetings with Stepanek, he has yet to drop a set. Looking through the stats for these matches, I noticed something very interesting, in the last two meetings Stepanek never had one break point ! Now the Swede is not the greatest server in the world, averaging one ace per set here, so Radek obviously has trouble reading his serve.

Stepanek has never previously gone beyond the 3rd round and has needed titanic efforts to get through the last 2 rounds in 5 sets.

JB is still involved in two doubles events and they are his bread and butter, but he is never going to have a better chance to reach a singles grand slam semi. At odds against he must be backed. The ease in the weather and the likelyhood that play will be stop/start today, we have had thunderstorms all morning, should help the laid back Bjorkman.

3 points Bjorkman to beat Stepanek 2.60 unibet/expect ... little bigger for small money on betfair.

Good Luck.

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