Superettan statistics ......

No disrespect to the players and teams involved, but after 4 weeks of the World Cup, we are left with some poor fare for a week or two, however, a winner is a winner, wherever it may come.

I have been looking at Superettan, the second division of Swedish football and have come up with some interesting stats.

This is traditionally a high scoring league, producing goals at a rate of 2.93 per game over the past 5 seasons.

2006 started slowly with the average just over 2.20 after 9 rounds, but the goals have started to flow over recent weeks. The last 5 rounds have produced an average of 3.08 goals per game and 15 of the last 19 matches have gone "over".

This appears to be the trend over the period researched, once we are into June/July the goals start to flow. The Swedes really enjoy their summer, not sure if this is some knock on effect of the "feel good factor", or the teams just starting to gel. Regardless of the reason, we can look for goals in Superettan, where it is 40 matches since a 0-0 scoreline.

I have found two games today where we can play the "overs", first up is Ljungskile-Landskrona, where the visitors away fixtures produce over 3 goals per game and 5/6 of all games have gone "over". Ljungskile have gone over in 4/6 and are without 3 starting defenders.

Next, free scoring Orebro are averaging a total of 3 goals in all home games and are "over" in the last 5/6. The visit of Jonkopings should produce goals.

I was interested in the Norrkoping-Trelleborg match, where the home team are over in 5/6 and h2h have a history of goals, but the visitors have yet to concede in 7 away games, an admirable record. Opted to pass on this one.

This is a division to monitor closely over the coming weeks, as the total goals market looks one we can exploit.

Later today I will post some detailed news about a team in England that have been pressing for promotion the past two years. Bookmakers have priced them among the favourites for this coming season, they SHOULD be one of the market leaders, but for relegation, not promotion. This is a club in disarray.

3 points Ljunskile-Landskrona over 2.5 goals 1.92 betfair.
3 points Orebro-Jonkopings over 2.5 goals 1.77 betfair.

Good Luck.