Sunday, July 09, 2006

What will be going on in ...........


....... Roger Federer's mind this morning. Bidding to win his 4th straight Wimbledon title, on a centre court he has graced with elegance and flawless ability, he has to face his nemesis in Rafael Nadal.

The young Spaniard leads the h2h 6-1, including the last five. In 3 of the last 4 , all this year, Federer has taken the first set and still lost, he has held several match points and still lost. Seems like whatever Fedex does, Rafa finds a way to win.

Federer is the world number one by a mile, this year, his record is 55-4, all the defeats coming against Nadal, what must that do to his state of mind. What if the unthinkable happens and he loses again, this time on the surface he has dominated like a colossus, where will that leave him ? Rafa has nothing to lose, Roger has everything, en route to the final he has looked imperious and has yet to drop a set, but for him, the tournament starts here.

Nadal is like a Jack Russell terrier, he will never give up. I read an article earlier where the journalist put it thus........ "In Nadal, we have seen the stuff of nightmares and horror films. To win a point, never mind a game, set or match,you have to nail him to the floor, shoot him and burn the body." Fantastic.

Pretty sure that two weeks ago, Federer would have been praying for this match, a chance for revenge, put the upstart back in his place. Well, be careful what you wish for, it may come true.

Nadal has slowly come to terms with grass, "he can't serve", but has not been broken since the second round and Agassi, that master returner, could not manage to even get to deuce against this "poor" serve. Andre claimed that his second serve was impossible to read,that it was biting into the court and moving and kicking a lot. He is not afraid to volley and the amount of topspin on his groundstrokes, keeps the ball low and difficult to deal with.

So here we are, quite possibly the greatest grass court player ever, verses the man with 60 straight wins on clay, who never gives up and is learning to love the green stuff. Compelling stuff, a match to savour, the slower courts help the Spaniard and I feel he can take a set, he COULD win, that seemed inconceivable just days ago.

Going to back Rafa to take a set, easiest way is to "lay" Federer to win 3-0 in sets, most bookmakers will offer some sort of handicap.

Lay 4 points Federer to win 3-0 sets 2.16 betfair.

Good Luck.

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