Tuesday, July 04, 2006

Super Mario looking for a repeat.....


Mario Ancic was the last man to beat Roger Federer at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets in 2002. They have met three times since and the Croatian has taken only one set. Despite this I am sure that Federer is still looking for revenge and will want to put the record straight.

In the eleven sets the two have played, the world number one is averaging 3 break points per set, the big serving Ancic exactly 2, so he is getting chances on the Federer serve. The "ace"count is, surprisingly, rather similar.

This year at Wimbledon, Mario is producing 5 aces per set, unlikely he can maintain that level today, but may not need to, if he can keep the unforced errors down, he can put pressure on his opponents serve. Think that Federer has too much class and will win through in the end, but Ancic is very capable of taking a set, 3-1 seems a fair call and a saver on an exciting, deciding set finish.

2 points Federer to win 3-1 sets 4.0 betfair
1/2 point Federer to win 3-2 sets 10.5 betfair

Good luck.

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