At the moment, there appears to be a huge advantage in winning your group, thereby missing most of the "big" clubs and I expect Liverpool, to look for the three points and a few goals, which would give them the advantage over Atletico, who have to face PSV in an empty stadium. The visitors know that only three points would give them a chance of qualification and even that ,is unlikely to be enough. For a French side, they are very adventurous and are far happier going forward, than defensively, where they can be very sloppy at times, domestically, they have conceded more goals than any team outside the bottom 5.
I expect this to end up quite an open affair and think that I have found a little value in the anytime scorer market. Steven Gerrard returns to the starting eleven tonight and plays alongside Fernando Torres for the first time since early October. They enjoy playing together and Gerrard thrives off the balls the Spanish striker lays off for him. The England midfielder scored twice in the first meeting between these two sides and has scored in three of the four group games. He will be hungry after missing the England game last week and will want to annouce his return, to the Anfield faithful and also to Fabio, at circa 3.0, he looks overpriced.
4.5 Gerrard to score anytime 2.75 + .......... 2.95 exchanges..... 3.0 Hills.