Sunday, November 30, 2008
NFL ....BALTIMORE RAVENS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
I remain in fantastic form with my American Football previews and have given 13 winners from 18 selections ( 72.22%) to subscribers, plus, just a single long term selection, given at odds of 5.0 and now trading at circa 1.50 !
Obviously, I am looking to improve upon those stats today and am putting my trust in the Ravens, who did us a big favour last weekend. This is a huge weekend for them, they trail Pittsburgh by a game in the AFC North, who face a very difficult game in New England and with the Steelers still to visit Baltimore, in two weeks time, the division is still up for grabs, but with little margin for error.
The season cannot end soon enough for the Bengals, they are 1-9-1 and the only team officially eliminated from post season contention in the AFC. They have been decimated by injuries, the two latest, picked up in a 27-10 defeat at Pittsburgh last week, means that they are without eleven starters. After facing the Steelers number one ranked defense, they could have expected things to get a little easier and I suppose they have, but not by much, Baltimore have the second best defense in the NFL and arrive on the back of five wins from their last six starts, with their loss coming against the 10-1 Giants.
The Bengals offense has averaged a league low 258 yards and just over 13 points per game, they managed just 208 yards last week, with only 43 of rushing. When the two met in the season opener, Cincinnati were held to just 154 yards of offense and it is hard to see them having much more success tonight, the Ravens had 229 yards on the ground alone in that game.
All of Baltimore's seven wins this year have come by at least 7 points, with only one of Cincinnati's nine losses, being by under a touchdown. Therefore, I have no qualms about taking the Ravens giving up seven points.
6.5 points Baltimore Ravens -7 points 1.96 Vegas Line.