ITALY SERIE A
CAGLIARI - BOLOGNA
Hosts have now played four strong matches in a row, two wins, a 0-0 home draw with Milan and a very unlucky midweek loss at Genoa, where they enjoyed 56% of possession, had 16 attempts on goal and were camped in the opposition half for most of the second half. Bologna have been poor all season, apart from a freak win at Milan and a crazy opening 20 minutes at home to Lazio, they are missing a handful of players today and I favour a home win, even though Cagliari will be without the suspended Fini.
6 points Cagliari -1/2 ball 2.06 asian line.
SIENA - FIORENTINA
Tuscan derby, which is normally very keenly fought and probably the last thing that Fiorentina needed ahead of a "must win" champions League game against Bayern Munich on Wednesday. Originally they were said to be without their two key strikers in Gilardino and Mutu, but there was talk yesterday that the last named might play some part, I would have thought they would be better served saving him for midweek.Hosts were very unlucky not to get something from a narrow defeat at Milan last time out and will be happy to be back on home soil, where they remain unbeaten and have conceded just a single goal. I have to take them to record their third h2h victory in five meetings.6 points Siena level ball 2.07 asian line.