Wednesday, December 03, 2008

UEFA CUP ...........


Visitors cannot qualify from the group and have lost all three starts, scoring just a single goal. Hosts have three points and know that another home win, will all but seal their progression, they are unlikely to want to travel to Sampdoria in two week's time, needing a result, especially a win. Seville are one of La Liga's best and have been exceptionally strong in Europe on home soil, in recent seasons, winning 20 (one loss) of 25 starts, over the last five years. They have kept 15 clean sheets and strangely, won 12 of those by a two goal margin, amazingly nine or 36%, have come by a 2-0 correct score. This is not really surprising, as it is the scoreline which gives you a margin of error and once reached, can enable you to "coast". Partizan lost their away group game in Stuttgart 2-0 and I certainly would not put anyone off backing this score at circa 7.0. I suspect the visitors will name their strongest available team, Juca is suspended and will be missed, bu t they are heading towards the long winter break and have an easy looking league game (on paper) at the weekend, so no real need to save legs and players will be out to impress the spanish scouts. Having said that, there is a clear gulf in class, between these two teams.

I will play a little safer and make my recommendation ,the Spanish side to win by exactly two goals. If this is not available to you, by taking the best odds available on 2-0, 3-1 and 4-2 and staking to win the same amount, you will achieve much the same result. If they go on to win 5-3, then you will have to grin and bear it and accept that it is not your night !

3 points Sevilla to win by two goals 4.0 Blue Square..... others are likely to offer this on the day.

4.5 points Sevilla -1.75 ball asian line 1.84.

written 10 pm last night

Good Night.

No comments: