We all know these two very well, so no need to go into great detail.
Valencia took the precaution of resting several players at the weekend, a luxury that Jose Mourinho felt was not available to him, as he could not let up in the pursuit of Manchester United, in the Premiership.
That decision did not come without a price for the Spanish club, they fell to a 1-0 defeat at Athletic Bilbao, a result which left them outside the top 4. The plus side is that they will, no doubt, strip a little fitter tonight and having impressed all, in the 1-1 first leg draw at Stamford Bridge, will fancy their chances of progressing.
The situation is clear, if Chelsea do not score, they will be eliminated. Therefore, sooner or later, they will be forced forward. My mind keeps going back to the away leg with Barcelona earlier in the season, with Drogba netting deep in injury time, to earn a 2-2 draw. Something similar this evening would not surprise me and that scoreline, which can be backed at circa 20.0, would be my suggestion for anyone looking for a long shot.
I strongly feel that both teams will score, the Londoners have only failed to do so in 3 of their last 24 away, Valencia in 5 of 36 at the Mestalla.
My selection is the "over" 2 goal line, on the asian market, a wager that would have lost only twice, in Chelsea's last 11 Champions League ties.
4.5 points Valencia-Chelsea over 2 goals 1.96 asian line. Result 1-2 winner profit + 4.32 pts