Tuesday, March 24, 2009




These two sit directly outside the relegation zone, each two points above Yeovil who have an inferior goal difference. Therefore, a draw tonight would give both a three point advantage over the West Country team and that is probably a result both could live with. Northampton also have a game in hand and, this is key, both teams have to face Yeovil before the end of the month, so that potential three point lead, could prove crucial. If this was an Italian fixture, we would probably all be rushing to get on the stalemate, but I accept that the British game and mindset, is very different. However, if forced to choose a 1X2 bet, then the draw would be my selection.

Both teams come here on the back of big home wins, Northampton put four unanswered goals past Stockport and Swindon beat Hereford 3-0, their second win by that scoreline inside the past week, after putting Southend to the sword on Tuesday. Each looks too strong to go down and I expect them to slowly pull away from the drop zone in the coming weeks.

I am going to side with the visitors, getting the minimum handicap start. They have had an incredibly tough run of road games and in their last seven away games, have drawn at Leicester, Oldham and Millwall and lost by the odd and usually late goal at Huddersfield, Tranmere, Colchester and Leeds, it doesn't get any harder at this level, they have performed well and consistently in each and will probably welcome the opportunity to face an "easier", or at least more similar level opponent. They have two inform strikers in Billy Painter and Simon Cox ( four goals last week) and boss Danny Wilson, whom I have a lot of time for, has bought in a couple of decent loan signings, including Owain Tudur Jones from Swansea, who had a number of other options, but chose to join this dog fight at the bottom of League 1. I am happy to bet the inform visitors getting a start, in a match where maybe, both could accept the single point.

7 points Swindon Town +1/4 ball 1.99 asian line..... now 1.93

Good Luck.

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