This is purely a motivation pick, Gijon have a degree of safety 7 points clear of relegation and with three of their next four starts coming at home. They seem unlikely to sit back, as they have yet to record a single draw all season (11-0-16).
Numanicia surely have to win this to have any hope of suvival in La Liga , they are five points from safety and can hardly rely on their away form (1-0-13) to rescue them. On occasion, like in the recent 2-1 defeat of Valencia, they can compete with the best on home soil, where they have six wins. Just two draws between these two in 54 La Liga starts this campaign and only one in 15 h2h games, so we should see a winner and Numancia's need is so much greater.
5.5 points Numancia -1/2 ball 2.50 + general quote.