Conditions are very tough at the Innisbrook Resort, the course is extremely dry, the weather forecast is for it to remain hot and sunny and par golf might take you a long way today. Veteran Tom Lehman leads by a stroke from Retief Goosen, with four players Immelmann, Appleby, Byrd and Howell all, a further two shots back. It is probably not a coincidence that both Goosen, who has traditionally done well on the difficult putting greens at Augusta and Immelman, last year's winner of the Masters are doing well here.
I feel that the younger South African is ideally placed to launch a charge today and is a very juicy price against a bunch of talented golfers, who win far too infrequently. Goosen has won in his homeland this year, but has struggled with his game in recent years, Lehman is 50 now and not really competed at the very top level in almost a decade. Byrd and Howell can play well in the final round of tournaments, but it too often tends to be once a winning chance has gone and they should have far more career wins between them. Appleby has a chance, he is an eight time winner on tour, has shown signs of a return to form recently and a saver on him at circa 14.0 is very tempting. However, Immelman is easily the most consistent putter of these contenders this week and that could prove key this afternoon.
3 points each way Immelman 11.0 + general quote ..... 12.0 Stan James 1/5 odds 1234.
1.5 point Appleby to win outright 14.0 Stan James.